Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 339.691156 384.867124 434.936567 494.741173 564.484423 643.551980 740.404282
2025-10-26 266.768711 324.414698 393.907377 484.609649 600.979765 746.774993 945.643897
2025-11-02 227.318903 289.157160 367.840346 476.702615 625.632872 825.529151 1119.800085
2025-11-09 206.573507 272.802626 360.984214 489.216330 674.710510 939.342628 1356.752229
2025-11-16 185.826753 252.988050 345.791010 486.431807 699.653627 1020.132729 1556.994486
2025-11-23 168.205151 235.056782 330.438112 480.293528 717.115980 1090.119705 1750.258316
2025-11-30 155.810230 223.037841 321.843469 482.407860 746.327491 1181.095259 1992.882530
2025-12-07 142.704067 208.523656 307.757604 473.810103 756.320815 1240.625989 2189.615259
2025-12-14 132.730481 197.750416 298.174670 470.986969 774.936658 1316.637599 2430.003991
2025-12-21 120.875393 182.976443 280.818151 453.139860 764.775808 1338.718196 2567.589738
2025-12-28 117.070152 180.637518 283.220387 469.063353 816.815670 1483.877811 2987.420215
2026-01-04 114.021212 179.206989 286.873284 487.375152 875.390720 1650.515810 3490.916010
2026-01-11 108.166283 172.797946 281.771949 489.772541 904.704568 1764.867936 3907.948110
2026-01-18 100.633978 162.984022 269.956098 478.457578 905.345964 1819.100882 4193.881938
2026-01-25 94.421145 154.969052 260.623048 470.822781 912.368129 1888.110203 4534.202595
2026-02-01 91.620273 152.722181 261.476354 483.135075 963.146533 2065.219914 5212.538883
2026-02-08 87.012739 146.887648 255.199579 480.393604 980.543187 2166.239125 5704.552555
2026-02-15 82.375511 140.671991 247.703454 474.344694 989.626537 2248.302388 6163.851238
2026-02-22 79.104799 136.748518 244.263402 476.428203 1017.739435 2383.688163 6831.841431
2026-03-01 74.863904 130.726536 236.284369 467.955765 1019.607258 2450.291514 7294.580827
2026-03-08 71.573415 126.300959 231.132297 465.173694 1035.021407 2556.694755 7930.612438
2026-03-15 66.951270 119.042500 219.810420 447.585155 1011.256926 2549.072246 8152.390727
2026-03-22 66.043966 118.947368 223.013188 463.278033 1074.704109 2806.013057 9470.152992